The return of the Taiwan issue to U.S.-China relations

Written by Richard C. Bush III. President Xi Jinping is likely to make Taiwan a major issue at his summit with President Obama. The island is having presidential and legislative elections in January. There is a good chance that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), which China doesn’t like, will come back to power. Xi’s message to Obama …

In spite of many challenges, Obama-Xi summit will see modest progress

Written by Bates Gill. The enduring paradox of U.S.-China relations will be on full display this week in Washington in what will be one of the most important—and difficult—meetings between Presidents Barack Obama and Xi Jinping. Across so many dimensions of the relationship, the two countries have never been closer. Yet the underlying strategic foundation …

China-US Relations: Ripe for Rivalry?

Written by WEI Zongyou. China’s President Xi Jinping is flying to the United States to mark the 70th Anniversary of the United Nations‘ founding, and will meet US President Barack Obama at the White House during his week-long visit between September 22 and 28. This will be Xi’s first state visit to the United States as President. …

China and the Global Great Game: New Order not New Imperialism

Written by Grant Dawson. China’s recent stock-market crisis has undermined international confidence in China as a sure and steady engine of economic growth. The image many now have is of China exporting uncertainty, in addition to everything from toys to high-speed rail infrastructure. This is largely an over-reaction. The crash erased USD 4.5 trillion in …

Is the CCP’s Aspirational Leadership Narrative Un-American or Anti-American ? Wang Huning as a Test Case

Written by Niv Horesh. In 1991, David Shambaugh famously damned China’s American-studies establishment as advancing a “shallow and seriously distorted” understanding of US culture, history, society and politics.1 Nevertheless, in the intervening two and a half decades, a new generation of experts has come to inform CCP thinking on the US. Shambaugh’s 1991 study focused on …

70 Years of ‘Cold Peace’ and ‘Cold War’ in East Asia Coming to an End?

Written by Christian Wirth. 70 years passed since Emperor Hirohito declared Imperial Japan’s surrender and ended what is often referred to as The Pacific War.  25 years passed since the Soviet Union’s disintegration ended the global confrontation between the US-led ‘West’ and the Soviet-led ‘East’, commonly referred to as the Cold War. Yet even in this …

Why Fresh Thinking on the South China Sea is a Problem

Written by Kerry Brown. Almost certainly one of the headaches that a new American president will have to start engaging with when they finally come into office in a year and a half’s time will be the complex claims and counter-claims over sovereignty and maritime borders in the South and East China Sea. Issues that once …

Why the Pivot Will Fail: Washington Won’t State Its Real Goal

Written by Harry J. Kazianis. I have always been a big believer in goal setting. A simple idea we all take for granted, yet, goals allow one to make simple judgments when it comes to your own personal successes or failures. Metrics can be crafted to judge the strategy you enact to achieve a stated …

Alliances and Partnerships for a Rebalancing United States

Written by Abraham M. Denmark. As the United States continues to rebalance toward the Asia-Pacific, alliances and partnerships will take on a greater significance in this strategy. Whereas Washington was initially focused on enhancing American power in the Asia-Pacific, its strategy is rapidly evolving to one focused on upgrading its alliance and partner relationships in …

U.S. in the Asia Pacific: Towards More Effective Asia Strategy

Written by Michael Mazza. Now in its fourth year, the Obama administration’s pivot to Asia remains beset by a problem of perception. Those countries in the region that the pivot, or rebalance, was intended to reassure remain unconvinced of American commitment to the region’s stability and of American staying power. China, which the pivot should …