China Policy Institute Blog

China’s Defense Budget is Going Up? Who Cares?

Written by Harry J. Kazianis. Recently China issued its latest defense budget numbers revealing a 12.2% increase in funding for that nation’s armed forces. While many pundits quickly took to the pages of various blogs and op-ed pages—some of which offered some finely balanced and tight analysis—I had a different take: Who cares? OK, let …

Welcome to Chinese A2/AD: Version 2.0

Written by Harry Kazianis. Much has been made over the last several years concerning China’s growing capabilities to deny a technological advanced adversary the capability to intervene in various possible conflicts near its borders. Over the next five years, such capabilities are likely to become even stronger, posing an interesting challenge to U.S. and allied …

China’s Perspective on the ADIZ: Backfire or Signal Flare?

Written by Huang Wei. China’s recent move to establish the East China Sea Air Defence Identification Zone (ADIZ) is widely considered negative and seen by some commentators as having backfired, especially when the U.S. sent B-52 bombers to touch upon the edge of China’s ADIZ. Such a development was hardly unexpected by Beijing. It would be against …

China’s dangerous gamble

Written by J. Michael Cole. The announcement by China on November 23 that it had established and would enforce an Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) in the East China Sea is the latest in a series of worrying developments under the leadership of Chinese President Xi Jinping, and one that unnecessarily increases the risks of …

Japan reacts to China’s ADIZ

Written by Corey Wallace. If China’s recent announcement establishing an Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) was concocted as part of a strategy to put more pressure on Japan in order to force it to come to the negotiating table on the Senkaku/Diaoyu dispute, it shows a clear lack of understanding about the motivations and likely …

China’s new ADIZ: Do not panic, yet do worry.

Written by Michal Thim. With the announcement of the new Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) on 23 November, Beijing has elevated its territorial claims in the East China Sea to a higher level, literally. Chinese officials and experts were quick to argue that the newly established ADIZ is no different from those of other nations …

China’s Proposed “State Security Council”: Social Governance under Xi Jinping

Written by Samantha Hoffman and Peter Mattis. The communiqué following the Third Plenum on 12 November stated that a “State Security Committee” would be established to “perfect the national security system and national security strategy, and ensure national security.” No specific information on the plan was provided, leaving to question what form the future committee might …

Chinese Political Warfare in the 21st Century

Written by Russell L.C. Hsiao. One poorly understood element of Chinese military strategy in the 21st Century is political warfare. While many China-military watchers in the West possess an encyclopedic knowledge of Chinese military hardware and their attendant capabilities, few analysts have acquired an adequate understanding of political warfare as a modern Chinese political and military …

Ma Ying-jeou’s aborted military reform

Written by Michal Thim. Last month, the planned transition from a conscript-based system of National Service to a professional all-volunteer army was postponed in the aftermath of the outrage surrounding the death of soldier Hung Chung-chiu (洪仲丘) on 4 July, 2013. Hung’s death resulted in a number of demonstrations, including one that drew around 250,000 …

The Driving Force behind PRC’s Military Modernization

Written by Shih-yueh Yang. With its ever increasing budget and technological capabilities, the PRC’s rapid military modernization is one of the most worrying issues in the Asia-Pacific region. The standard view about this modernization is that it is driven by ongoing territorial disputes in the East and South China Seas, Taiwan and the desire and …